Monday, December 16, 2019

Preparing for a Winter Weather Emergency


Winter officially arrives December 21, 2019 in the northern hemisphere. It’s time to prepare for a potential winter weather emergency if you haven’t already.

God can protect us from disasters. However, I am confident God wants us to do our part to prepare for potential disasters, too.

If an emergency causes your home to lose electrical power, phone service, and safe tap water, what can you do? What if the emergency also makes your local roads unsafe due to downed power lines and trees?

One key is preparing in advance. Seek to protect water pipes from freezing and take other actions to plan ahead. Your survival may depend on it. One step in this preparation is assembling an emergency kit.

What to Include in Your Emergency Kit

Keeping a supply of essential items on hand is important. Two important things to have are water and food.

Water: I normally keep about seven 24 packs of ½ liter containers of bottled water on hand and replace it about every two years (the recommended shelf life on the bottles). That water could last me three weeks if I use about one gallon per day. I am single and live alone. Add additional quantities if your household contains more than one person.

Do you think you lack adequate space for this? If so, you are probably wrong. Since I fit it in my studio efficiency apartment of less than 300 square feet, I think most others (in the U.S. at least) can, too.

Food: Unless you have alternative means to cook food (and wash utensils) when your electrical power and natural gas and water are off, I urge you to stock only prepared food and disposable eating utensils for emergencies. This means foods like canned vegetables, canned and dried fruits, nuts, dry cereals that are ready to eat, crackers, etc. Keep a manual can opener on hand for use when electrical power is unavailable, too.

Other items to include in your survival kits: Also include flashlights, a battery-powered radio, batteries, a First Aid kit, any medications you need, and suitable clothing. For a more complete list, I recommend consulting a webpage on the U.S. government website, Ready.gov which provides a list of items for an emergency kit. Their list provides excellent advice as a starting point on what to include in an emergency kit. But you may desire additional items not on their list for your personal situation.

The Ready.gov website also provides much other information about coping with winter weather emergencies, as well as other emergencies.

Keep at Least a Three Week Supply of Essentials

Ready.gov recommends keeping at least a three days’ supply of water, food, and other items. However, I recommend a three week supply (or more) of food, water, medicine, and all the other essentials mentioned on the government websites that apply to your particular situation.

Why so much? If a major disaster occurs, it may take a few weeks for help to arrive. Even after a winter storm hits in a city in the United States, it frequently takes a week or more to restore electrical power to everyone. For example, in Lexington, Kentucky where I live, a February 2003 ice storm left about 2/3 of the city without electrical power, many for days, some for over a week, a few for a couple of weeks or longer.

Furthermore, in response to that 2003 Lexington winter storm, numerous utility-line repair people from states far away from Kentucky assisted, because their states were not affected. Also, the homes, stores, and other businesses in about 1/3 of Lexington were affected little. What if the outages had been more widespread?

If a major winter storm, earthquake, flood, or other disaster knocked out electrical power to much of the United States, there are not enough electrical line repair people to repair all those downed lines in a few days—or even a few weeks (or several weeks) in a very severe case. Depending on the type of disaster, roads may be damaged or flooded, trees may be down, hazardous chemicals may be released in the area, and all utilities (water, electricity, natural gas, phone service, etc.) may be cut off. Please prepare to shelter in your home for at least three weeks in case of an emergency. Board up windows if extremely high winds are expected.

If you haven’t read the list on Ready.gov, I urge you to do so. Even if you’ve read that list or a similar one before, do you remember it, and do you have it stocked? Most of the items on the list are good for a wide variety of emergencies, not just relatively common ones like a winter storm, flood, hurricane, or earthquake.

Carbon Monoxide Detectors and Generators

Buy a battery-powered carbon monoxide detector. Several have died from carbon monoxide poisoning due to improper use of heating sources (generators, charcoal grills, kerosene heaters, gas heaters, etc.)
Remember, diesel-powered and gas-powered generators (as well as charcoal grills) must operate outside your residence. If you have a generator and fuel for it, please place it outside and ventilate it away from all dwellings. The American Red Cross website is one of many sources providing more details on safely using generators.

Please don’t underestimate the danger of generators. Here in Lexington, Kentucky radio station WVLK reported some years ago about one family that was smart enough to put their generator outside and vent it away from their home—but they vented it toward a neighbor’s house. Fortunately, the neighbors felt ill effects and got medical attention. They lived.  But a spokesperson for the Lexington Fire Department stated that the carbon monoxide level in the neighbor’s home was several times the fatal limit, according to the WVLK news report.

Alternative Heating Source and Alternative Communication Methods

Try to have an alternative heating source that requires neither electricity nor natural gas, especially if you live in an isolated, rural area where a shelter is not available in case of a winter emergency. A wood stove, coal stove, oil stove, kerosene heater, fireplace, etc., can work.

Automobile exhaust is one major source of carbon monoxide, so please do not leave your car running in a garage or other enclosed area either.

Do seek to stay warm in cold weather though. If all else fails, putting everyone in one small room that is isolated from other areas and lighting a couple of oil lamps and candles will generate some heat. But, please be careful with fire. Provide at least a little ventilation to avoid either carbon monoxide poisoning or lack of oxygen due to the oil lamps and candles. And take steps to prevent a fire hazard. Standard safety procedures—but does anyone always follow all safety procedures? If we did, many accidents would be prevented. Bundle up in several layers of clothing to hold in warmth, too. Use blankets, sleeping bags, etc.

Try to plan in advance for some way to communicate with others without using a land-line phone, a cell phone, the Internet, a car, etc. Perhaps a satellite phone will be available nearby in an emergency center. An amateur radio operator may also be nearby. But even if such resources exist, you must be able to contact them. Downed power lines, felled trees, flooded streams, chemical fumes, and newly opened holes in the earth (in the case of an earthquake) may all impede your movement. The types of problems depend on the specific disaster.

Evacuation Plans

In addition, be prepared to evacuate your home if necessary. Keep the most essential items of your emergency supply kit handy in backpacks, the trunk of your car, or ready to put on your bicycle rack with short notice. Include appropriate clothing.

A three day supply (or less) of needed items may be all you can manage under these circumstances, especially if you must walk carrying the load.

If authorities urge you to evacuate due to weather or some other disaster, be ready and willing to do so when necessary. Keep your emergency kit packed and ready to go. If you wait, you may face enormous traffic jams and gas stations out of fuel—as New Orleans residents did with Hurricane Katrina in 2005.

Your evacuation plans need to consider various transportation methods. If airports, trains, and roads are so damaged (or overcrowded) that you can’t use them to evacuate, you may need to carry your emergency kit a long distance on a bicycle rack while bicycling—or in a backpack while walking.

Be willing to bicycle or walk if necessary, as long as your physical condition allows it. If those who are physically fit leave on their own, it will free up emergency response personnel and equipment for the truly needy, such as the elderly and disabled living alone.

I own a bicycle with a metal rack on the back and a few backpacks. I keep two backpacks stocked with emergency supplies that I try to replace if necessary (due to food close to the expiration date, etc.) once or twice a year. I hope I never encounter a major disaster, but if I ever do these resources may be very useful.

Conclusion

I hope what I’ve written helps you prepare for an emergency if you face one. Please consider doing further research on this topic, too. For example, additional advance planning may be especially necessary for disasters like chemical spills and biological disasters that may require you to seal yourself in an airtight room for a period. Obviously, due to the limited air supply, this would hopefully only be for a few hours.

You can access lots of helpful emergency preparedness resources online, in bookstores, at the library, via phone, etc.,—if you plan in advance. In fact, the Ready.gov and FEMA websites contain a wealth of disaster preparedness information.

If you haven't already done so, please take action now or soon to prepare for possible disasters. Please do plan ahead! And help others plan ahead, too. Please urge others to take the steps advocated in this article, too.

NOTES: This article being submitted to Google Blogger on December 16, 2019 is virtually identical to one the author submitted to Craft News Report (a website operated by his friend Paul Craft) on December 14, 2019. That article was adapted from a chapter in a book the author wrote.

Monday, December 2, 2019

Remain Single Instead of Marrying? Maybe Best, Especially for Christians


The Christmas season (and Thanksgiving) often focus attention on family activities. Persons who remain single may sometimes feel out of place. However, singles can still enjoy getting together with friends and relatives—as well as fun time alone.

Enjoy singleness. All humans are single during childhood. Furthermore, even those who marry often become single again due to divorce or the death of a spouse. A study discussed in an article on PsychologyToday.com[1] indicated that those who remained single throughout their lives coped better during their later years than those who were widowed or divorced.

I agree. Some divorced or widowed persons seem to never really recover from the loss of their spouse. Perhaps their life often was excessively wrapped up in that other person. I don’t know.     

Personally, I have been single all my life and feel that I am blessed immeasurably. The New Testament cites both Jesus (Matthew 19:10-12) and Paul (I Corinthians 7) as stating it is better to remain single if one has the discipline to do so.

For some Christians, it may be the right decision to remain single throughout life.

Famous Persons Who Remained Single
The Bible records no spouse for Jesus. Can you even imagine Jesus married to a human being? The Apostle Paul apparently was single during his ministry.

Many famous and successful people remained single. Consumer advocate Ralph Nader, who has accomplished much for many causes, likely could not have accomplished all he has if he had a spouse. Wilbur and Orville Wright might not have successfully flown an airplane if they’d been devoted to a spouse.

Other famous lifelong single persons include Leonardo da Vinci, Queen Elizabeth I, Sir Isaac Newton, Florence Nightingale, George Eastman, Henry David Thoreau, Meriwether Lewis, and Mother Teresa.   

Singleness Permits Focus
Singleness offers an opportunity to dedicate and devote oneself fully to a particular calling or purpose, as indicated by Paul’s words in I Corinthians 7:32-34 (KJV):
“32 But I would have you without carefulness. He that is unmarried careth for the things that belong to the Lord, how he may please the Lord:
33 But he that is married careth for the things that are of the world, how he may please his wife.
34 There is difference also between a wife and a virgin. The unmarried woman careth for the things of the Lord, that she may be holy both in body and in spirit: but she that is married careth for the things of the world, how she may please her husband.”
(King James Version, public domain; quoted from BibleGateway.com[2])

A single person typically doesn't need to budget as much time for family commitments. Also, a single person doesn't need to consider his or her spouse when contemplating career changes, moves to other locations, or when and where to eat meals.

If Married
However, if a Christian is already married, it is generally best to remain married unless one's spouse commits adultery or the spouse seeks a divorce. Even when a spouse commits adultery or seeks a divorce, sometimes the marriage can be saved.

If a couple experiences major problems in its marriage, prayer, marital counseling, a temporary separation, etc., can often help save the marriage. Also, seeking to resolve minor problems before they escalate into big ones is a key.

If Single
If persons are single when they become Christians, it may be better to remain single and celibate if they have the discipline to do so.

Typically, I think a single person who does not have responsibilities to a spouse or to children can devote more time to serving God and others. Still, choosing singleness is a personal choice.

For persons deciding to remain single, it is important to develop and maintain a network of friends to fellowship with at least occasionally and to help one another when necessary. Also, remember that singles living alone take total responsibility for their household cleaning, cooking, dishwashing, shopping, laundry, etc.

But often singles (including me) live in relatively small apartments rather than large houses, which reduces cleaning duties. Cooking big batches of beans and vegetable soup then refrigerating or freezing leftovers for later saves cooking and dishwashing time, too. And it is easier to shop and do laundry for oneself than for an entire family.

Personally, I think it may be God's calling for me to remain single throughout my life. Furthermore, some of my closest friends remain single.

I enjoy being single. I like being able to cook my own food the way I want it (especially nice since I try to adhere to a vegan diet). In addition, I can make my own decisions about my time and my activities.

Closing Thoughts
Of course, Christians may choose to get married. But I urge Christians to prayerfully consider the impact before getting married. Try to ensure that your relationship with that spouse-to-be will draw you both closer to God's will for your lives if you become a married couple than would be the case if you remained single and celibate.

By seeking God's perfect will, I am confident we will all be happier. For some (including me) that may include remaining single for one's entire life.

ENDNOTES:


[1] Bella DePaulo; “How Life Turns Out for Lifelong Singles”; PsychologyToday.com; April 7, 2019; webpage accessed December 1, 2019; https://www.psychologytoday.com/us/blog/living-single/201904/how-life-turns-out-lifelong-singles
[2] Bible, King James Version, I Corinthians 7; BibleGateway.com; webpage accessed December 1, 2019; https://www.biblegateway.com/passage/?search=1+Corinthians+7&version=KJV

NOTE:
This article being submitted to Google Blogger on December 2, 2019 is virtually identical to one the author submitted to Craft News Report, a website operated by his friend Paul Craft, on December 1, 2019. That article was adapted from a chapter in a book the author wrote, a chapter which was adapted from an earlier article the author wrote.

Monday, November 25, 2019

Should Medical Costs Be Disclosed in Advance? Standardized?


Finding out healthcare costs isn’t easy. Patients typically don’t learn them in advance. Often even the nurses, doctors, and other medical professionals in a hospital probably don’t know the health care costs for various procedures--billing is typically done by a different department of the hospital.

Indeed, when one faces a medical emergency, the patient and medical professionals are perhaps focused on diagnosing and treating whatever health need prompts the emergency rather than focusing on costs. Often that is the way it should be. In some cases until a patient is properly diagnosed and treated, the total financial cost involved is not known.

But for nonemergency medical needs, it is often (if not always) good for patients to know in advance approximately what the costs will be for various options and what the likely outcomes will be.

Recent Government Action
On November 15, 2019 the Department of Health and Human Services (HHS) announced[1] that “the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services (CMS) is issuing two rules . . . to increase price transparency to empower patients and increase price competition among all hospitals, group health plans, and health insurance issuers in the in the individual and group markets.”

The HHS took action in response to President Donald Trump’s June 24, 2019 “Executive Order on Improving Price and Quality Transparency in American Healthcare to Put Patients First[2].”

These step seem to be progress toward making medical care costs easier to learn in advance. Such transparency may lead to lower costs and better service.

As I stated in a March 2019 Google Blogger post[3], the greatest need for healthcare reform is better preventive care that can enable us to live happier, healthier, longer lives with lower medical costs. But when persons do seek medical care, we like to get quality care at reasonable prices. More transparency about pricing and quality can help this happen.

United States Healthcare Costs
United States healthcare costs are the highest in the world per capita, yet millions still lack quality healthcare coverage.

To cite just one example of high United States healthcare costs, a March 14, 2019 BBC article[4] notes that U.S. retail prices for insulin and other costs of treating diabetes are much higher than in the other countries discussed in the BBC piece.

Closing Thoughts: Simplify Healthcare Costs?
In addition to making prices more transparent, it could simplify things and reduce paperwork if hospitals charged the same rate to all insurance companies, individuals, etc., while offering a certain amount of pro bono (free) care to the needy, especially for emergency cases.

As it is now, often insurance companies negotiate major discounts off the stated prices for procedures, while persons who lack insurance and have limited funds often are billed for the standard rates which may be double or triple what the insurance companies negotiate. To me, this seems unreasonable. If you disagree, please feel free to explain to me why.

Furthermore, insurance plans often provide many pages of documentation of what’s covered and what’s not. I’m guessing (and I admit this is not based on personal knowledge) that medical professionals may be tempted to perform an unnecessary medical test or procedure that is covered by a patient’s insurance to get revenue for the medical facility and staff. In contrast medical professionals may seek to avoid performing a procedure they find advisable due to insurance not covering it.

Ideally, we’d be better off if we either had health insurance that covered everything, were so healthy we needed no medical care, and/or had the funds and wisdom to pay for all our own healthcare needs without insurance.

We don’t live in this ideal world. But I think the Trump administration’s actions to get more transparency in medical care is a big step in the correct direction.

However, I am writing as an outsider. Is there something I’m missing that medical professionals and/or insurance professionals know?        

DISCLOSURE:
The author’s sisters both work for hospitals, one as a registered nurse and the other in the accounting area of a different hospital. But the author did not consult either of them for information when writing this piece.

ENDNOTES:



[1] “Trump Administration Announces Historic Price Transparency Requirements to Increase Competition and Lower Healthcare Costs for All Americans”; U.S. Department of Health & Human Services; November 15, 2019 press release; webpage accessed November 23, 2019; https://www.hhs.gov/about/news/2019/11/15/trump-administration-announces-historic-price-transparency-and-lower-healthcare-costs-for-all-americans.html

[2] Donald J. Trump; “Executive Order on Improving Price and Quality Transparency in American Healthcare to Put Patients First”; Whitehouse.gov; June 24, 2019; webpage accessed November 23, 2019; https://www.whitehouse.gov/presidential-actions/executive-order-improving-price-quality-transparency-american-healthcare-put-patients-first/

[3] James Edwin Gibson; “True Healthcare Reform: Better Preventive Care;” Google Blogger; March 30, 2019; webpage accessed November 25, 2019; https://oneopinionsomeviews.blogspot.com/2019/03/true-health-care-reform-better.html

[4] Ritu Prasad; “The human cost of insulin in America”; BBC News; March 14, 2019; webpage accessed March 23, 2019; https://www.bbc.com/news/world-us-canada-47491964

NOTE:
This article being submitted to Google Blogger on November 25, 2019 is virtually identical to one the author submitted to Craft News Report, a website operated by his friend Paul Craft, on November 24, 2019.

Wednesday, November 20, 2019

Trump Is an Effective President Despite (Because of?) His Weaknesses


Donald Trump is an effective president. Why? Because he is accomplishing much of what he committed to do during his presidential campaign and what he desires to do.

Please don’t misunderstand me. Trump has numerous weaknesses. He seems egotistical, a megalomaniac. His tweets and comments often contain much hyperbole or blatant lies. His past allegedly includes some shady business dealings and sexual harassment.

I did not vote for him. In fact due to what I perceived as major character flaws of Trump and Hillary Clinton, I voted for one of the other candidates in the November 2016 election. As an independent, I couldn’t vote in the primary election, but if I could, I likely would have voted for a United States Senator from my home state, Kentucky Senator Rand Paul.

Mavericks Versus Political Party Supporters
Both Trump and Paul are mavericks. They seek to do things differently than the standard procedures of the Democratic and Republican machines. A whole lot of people who are fed up with the way things have been done support Trump (and Paul, who agrees with Trump on many things, but not all). Trump and Paul are both Republicans, but they both have some ideas that go against their own Republican party.

Millions of people (including me) are fed up with persons who follow strictly Republican or strictly Democratic principles. Trump probably is not much more popular with traditional Republicans than with liberal Democrats. If a secret ballot were taken, most Republican Senators would probably prefer Vice President Mike Pence to hold the office. For example, Republicans dislike Trump’s plans to rebuild infrastructure and his plans to withdraw U.S. troops from Syria and other areas.

Some of President Donald Trump’s 2016 Campaign Promises  
·         Judges. Trump committed to appointing conservative, pro-life Supreme Court justices. He has done so, appointing two, both confirmed and now on the court. He has also appointed numerous other conservative judges in various positions.
·         Trade. Trump promised to replace NAFTA. He negotiated a new agreement (USMCA) that if confirmed will be a new approach to trade between the United States, Mexico, and Canada. He is also in various stages of new trade agreements with China, Japan, the European Union, South Korea, and the United Kingdom.
·         Environment. Trump, as promised, has rolled-back environmental regulations on coal mining, light bulbs energy consumption, air quality, the Clean Water Act, restrictions on oil and gas drilling in certain areas, and cut the EPA’s budget and scope.
·         Immigration. Trump campaigned on a plan to expand and improve the border wall(s) along the Mexican border, and he sought to greatly reduce illegal immigration. He has worked to do so, with limited success thus far, but he certainly has sought to do it.
·     Obamacare and healthcare. Trump promised to abolish Obamacare. He has succeeded in ending the mandate for persons to purchase health care. And other changes are in court. Trump also seeks for healthcare prices to be more transparent, so persons can see the rates insurance providers negotiate with health care providers and actual costs of procedures, versus the rates the general public pays.  
·       Taxes. Federal tax forms have been simplified and taxes have been lowered.
·      Infrastructure. Trump has sought to rebuild infrastructure. But Democrats seem reluctant to help and it is not an issue Republicans seem interested greatly in spending money on.
·     Worldwide military presence and counterproductive warfare. Trump has sought to reduce the number of U.S. troops in various areas of the world despite opposition from many Republican leaders.
·  Radical Islamic terrorism. Trump’s administration has made significant strides in combatting radical Islamic terrorism.
·  Jerusalem embassy. Trump’s administration moved the U.S. embassy in Israel to Jerusalem.

Even if I disagree with some of President Trump’s accomplishments, I give him credit for coming closer to fulfilling his campaign promises--or seeking to do so--than most (if not all) Presidents of my lifetime.

These accomplishments make him popular with a lot of folks—and unpopular with a lot of others.

The Impeachment Process
A primary reason for the impeachment process may not be that he has abused power, lied, etc. Instead, many are concerned that he accomplished things that the liberal Democrats dislike—and that he may be reelected for another four years. Indeed, the Democrats calling for Trump’s impeachment didn’t get upset about Barack Obama’s frequent executive orders, etc., that seemed to abuse the power of the presidency.

It surprises me that the Trump impeachment proceedings focus on his seeking an investigation of Joe Biden and Hunter Biden. If the Bidens were doing wrong, they should be investigated. If not, the investigation presumably wouldn’t find anything. Maybe other alleged infractions of Trump are worse.

I wrote about the impeachment process in a November 12, 2019 Google Blogger piece.  I still feel Trump will not be forcibly removed from office.

My guess is that the impeachment trial will be over before the end of winter. And the public may tire of seeing, hearing, and reading about it before then. Voters in November 2020 will vote more based on how the United States economy is at that time than based on impeachment proceedings.

Final Thoughts
The nation may be its most divided since the Civil War and its aftermath. Following the Civil War and the installation of Andrew Johnson as successor to President Abraham Lincoln, Radical Republicans were outraged by some of President Andrew Johnson’s actions, such as his support for leniency for the South. Johnson was impeached and saved by one vote from being convicted and removed from office by the U.S. Senate. Some of Trump’s actions outrage people, too.

Donald Trump has not bridged the divisiveness in the country or the huge gap between the income of the working class and the income of the wealthy elite. But, Donald Trump has an impressive list of accomplished campaign promises thus far.

Furthermore, he is working on fulfilling more campaign promises. Many of those who voted for him in 2016 have even more reason to vote for him in 2020. Of course, many of those who voted against him in 2016 have even more reason to vote against him.

Arguably, Trump’s most important unfilled campaign promise is the one to restore economic prosperity, including for coal miners. He has taken positive steps. But a lot of coal miners remain unemployed. A lot of workers in various occupations remain paid relatively little compared to CEOs. The huge gap between the typical wages of workers and the riches of the corporate elites remains huge.

My guess is that the state of the economy will be more important in next year’s presidential election than the impeachment process.

Personally, I seek to pray for President Trump and other officials. I pray that they will seek to make the right decisions and do the right things.

Lots of things need changed. Lots of things need restored. Actions need taken.

And assertive mavericks like Donald Trump and Rand Paul are more likely to take innovative action for change than career lawyer politicians. As long as persons keep Trump under reasonable control to overcome his missteps, his record of accomplishments may keep building.

Depending on who else is on the ballot, God willing, I may even vote for Trump myself in November 2020—though I remain hopeful for a much better maverick candidate. Yes, Donald Trump has major weaknesses, but lack of significant accomplishments as President is not one of them. For better or worse, he has done or sought to do much of what he campaigned promising to do.

NOTE:
This article being submitted to Google Blogger on November 20, 2019 is very similar to one the author submitted on November 17, 2019 to the website Craft News Report, which is operated by his friend Paul Craft.

Tuesday, November 12, 2019

Will Trump Be Impeached? Convicted? Resign?


Public televised hearings begin tomorrow Wednesday, November 13, 2019, as the United States House of Representatives considers whether or not to impeach President Donald Trump, as noted by Reuters[i], TheHill[ii], CBSNews[iii], and numerous other news sources.

Four things to consider are:
·         Will President Trump be impeached by the U.S. House of Representatives?
·         If so, will President Trump be convicted by the U.S. Senate and removed from office?
·         Will President Trump resign from office voluntarily?
·         Despite much wrongdoing, why has no President ever been convicted by the Senate and removed from office?

I address each of these four questions below.

First, Will President Trump Be Impeached?

The impeachment process is still in its early stages. But this question seems to be the easiest of the four to answer. The majority of the members of the U.S. House of Representatives are Democrats. It only takes a majority vote to impeach the President. And many Democrats have made their dissatisfaction with the President clear on a variety of issues that they apparently consider worthy of impeachment. Therefore, impeachment seems very likely.

Second, Will the U.S. Senate Convict President Trump?

If/when the U.S. House of Representatives impeaches the President, the U.S. Senate will then consider whether or not to convict him of whatever wrongdoing(s) the House charges him with, thus removing him from office.

The United States Constitution[iv] requires the “Concurrence of two thirds of the Members present” to convict him. Since the majority of the U.S. Senate members are Republicans, even if all Democrats in the U.S. Senate vote to remove Trump, many Republicans would need to vote that way also to convict him. So far, few Republicans seem inclined to vote that way.

How the public hearings go, how public opinion goes, and other factors will determine the end result. But in the entire history of this country, there has never been a President convicted and removed from office.

My guess is that since zero Republican U.S. House of Representatives members even voted for opening a formal impeachment inquiry, when all is said and done, that the United States Senate will not get a two thirds majority to convict President Trump.

Third, Will President Trump Resign From Office Voluntarily?

So far, the President shows no sign at all of that. And though he is known to change his mind, I see no evidence thus far that would indicate such a thing occurring. His base of evangelical conservatives seems largely to be sticking with him and so do most Republicans.

Fourth, Why Has No President Ever Been Removed from Office by the U.S. Senate?

We’ve never had a President formally convicted and removed from office by the United States Senate despite some that may have committed numerous wrongs.

Two Presidents (Andrew Johnson and Bill Clinton) were impeached. But neither was convicted by the Senate.

One President (Richard Nixon) resigned before the proceedings were completed, since Republican leaders convinced him he would be convicted and removed from office, as stated by the ChristianScienceMonitor,[v] Politico[vi], and other news sources.

Should any past Presidents have been forcibly removed from office? I’m not an expert on past Presidents, and I am not qualified to make that decision. But I will cite a few examples of Presidents that allegedly committed significant wrongdoing and/or allegedly possessed significant weaknesses:
·         Bill Clinton allegedly had hundreds of extramarital affairs. At least four women accused him of sexually harassing them, including one who said he raped her, according to BusinessInsider[vii] and other news sources. However, his impeachment trial focused on one consensual affair with an intern. Numerous other Presidents have also been accused of adultery and other sexual offenses.
·         Warren G. Harding’s administration involved much corruption though he was never personally implicated in it, as reported by Britannica.com[viii] and other sources.    
·         Abraham Lincoln and some other Presidents are believed by many scholars to have suffered from mental illness during their Presidencies. BPHope.com[ix] claims at least twelve U.S. Presidents suffered from mental illness. Though many scholars consider Lincoln our greatest President, others feel that a better qualified one could have gradually ended slavery peacefully without a war that resulted in hundreds of thousands of deaths, injuries, and divisions that to some extent still exist.
·         A few Presidents were supposedly incapacitated at times and their wives performed many Presidential functions. For example, after President Woodrow Wilson suffered a stroke, his wife Edith Wilson was “functionally running the Executive branch of government for the remainder of Wilson’s second term” according to a piece on WhiteHouse.gov[x] and other news sources. Franklin Delano Roosevelt’s wife, Eleanor Roosevelt, also played a leading role in his administration due to his disability according to a piece on PresidentialProfiles.com[xi] and other sources.

I don’t know why no President has ever been forcibly removed from office. But that fact seems to indicate up the difficulty of doing so. And, I am not going to discuss assassination, since I abhor violence.

Final Thoughts

As an independent voter who didn’t like either Clinton or Trump, I voted for another candidate in the November 2016 presidential election. Independent voters can’t vote in the primary election in Kentucky (where I live), but if I could have voted in the primary, I would have voted for Kentucky Senator Rand Paul. You may consider me biased since Rand Paul and I both live in Kentucky. But Paul is a maverick who has many well-thought-out views as I see it.

Persons who are outspoken mavericks sometimes antagonize people though. That is the case with Trump.

President Trump is perhaps our most communicative President. He sends numerous daily public tweets.

He often offends people with his statements or tweets. He frequently changes his mind when he gains new information. He sometimes says perhaps outrageous things. His seeming spur-of-the-moment comments and/or decisions apparently often need to be altered by his staff.

But his being a maverick can be a benefit compared to Presidents who stick strictly to a political party’s views. Sometimes it’s wise to change one’s mind.

Furthermore, for better or worse President Trump has done or tried to do much of what he promised to do during his Presidential campaign:
·         He has appointed pro-life judges.
·         He has sought (unsuccessfully so far) to rebuild the country’s infrastructure.
·         He has loosened environmental restrictions.
·         He has taken the types of actions on trade and immigration that he campaigned on.
·       And his personality as President seems similar to his personality during the presidential campaign and before. I dislike his hyperbole (lying may be a better more accurate term) and his megalomaniac nature. But I think that’s what he displayed during the campaign. Sadly, hyperbole and megalomania seem common among many in leadership positions, though leaders may typically not have it to Trump’s extent.

Also, the Constitution does not forbid persons who are impeached and removed from office from running again. This impeachment process is occurring during the reelection campaign. In theory, Trump could be impeached and removed from office, then reelected. Would the new Congress repeat the process or would a group of more supportive persons be elected to Congress along with Trump?

Time will tell how it ends. And public reaction to the televised public proceedings may be a key factor (for better or worse).

However, unless the televised proceedings lead to some breakthroughs, I do not expect Trump to be convicted by the Senate or to resign.

The voters may make the decision on the reelection campaign in a year, November 2020.

ENDNOTES




[i] Susan Cornwell; “Explainer: What to expect from the televised Trump impeachment hearings next week”; Reuters; November 8, 2019; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.reuters.com/article/us-usa-trump-impeachment-hearings-explai/explainer-what-to-expect-from-the-televised-trump-impeachment-hearings-next-week-idUSKBN1XI22U

[ii] John Kruzel and Olivia Beavers; “Key impeachment witnesses to know as public hearings begin”; TheHill; November 9, 2019; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://thehill.com/policy/national-security/469704-key-impeachment-witnesses-to-know-as-public-hearings-begin

[iii] Caroline Cournoyer, Major Garrette, and Nancy Cordes; “What happened in the impeachment inquiry this week”; CBSNews; November 9, 2019; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.cbsnews.com/news/trump-impeachment-inquiry-recap-house-releases-testimony-transcripts-prepares-public-hearings-2019-11-09/ 

[iv] The Constitution of the United States of America”; GovInfo.gov; July 25, 2007; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.govinfo.gov/content/pkg/CDOC-110hdoc50/pdf/CDOC-110hdoc50.pdf

[v] Peter Grier: ; “Richard Nixon’s resignation: the day before, a moment of truth”; CSMonitor.com; August 7, 2014; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.csmonitor.com/USA/Politics/Decoder/2014/0807/Richard-Nixon-s-resignation-the-day-before-a-moment-of-truth

[vi] Andrew Glass; “When the GOP Torpedoed Nixon”; Politico; February 7, 2007; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.politico.com/story/2007/02/when-the-gop-torpedoed-nixon-002680

[vii] Eliza Relman; “These are the sexual-assault allegations against Bill Clinton”; Business Insider; June 4, 2018; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.businessinsider.com/these-are-the-sexual-assault-allegations-against-bill-clinton-2017-11

[viii] “Warren G. Harding”; Britannica.com; last updated October 29, 2019; webpage accessed November 12, 2019; https://www.britannica.com/biography/Warren-G-Harding

[ix] “The Surprising Link between American Presidents and Mental Illness”; bp Magazine; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.bphope.com/bipolar-buzz/the-surprising-link-between-american-presidents-and-mental-illness/

[x] “Edith Bolt Galt Wilson”; WhiteHouse.gov; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.whitehouse.gov/about-the-white-house/first-ladies/edith-bolling-galt-wilson/

[xi] “The Role of First Lady: Martha Washington to Laura Bush – First ladies with strong impact on their husbands’ presidencies”; PresidentProfiles.com; webpage accessed November 10, 2019; https://www.presidentprofiles.com/General-Information/The-Role-of-First-Lady-Martha-Washington-to-Laura-Bush-First-ladies-with-strong-impact-on-their-husbands-presidencies.html

NOTE:

This article being submitted to Google Blogger on November 12, 2019 is very similar to one the author submitted to Craft News Report, a website operated by his friend Paul Craft, on November 10, 2019.